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Garratt, Anthony and Lee, Kevin and Shields, Kalvinder (2016) Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output. International Journal of Forecasting, 32 (2). pp. 374-390. ISSN 0169-2070

Garratt, Anthony and Lee, Kevin and Shields, Kalvinder (2016) Information rigidities and the news-adjusted output gap. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 70 . pp. 1-17. ISSN 01651889

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